Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.001488 0.001579 0.001673 0.001777 0.001889 0.002006 0.002139
2025-03-02 0.001319 0.001442 0.001574 0.001727 0.001898 0.002085 0.002306
2025-03-09 0.001206 0.001350 0.001508 0.001695 0.001913 0.002159 0.002460
2025-03-16 0.001135 0.001294 0.001473 0.001692 0.001952 0.002255 0.002636
2025-03-23 0.001069 0.001238 0.001432 0.001674 0.001969 0.002320 0.002775
2025-03-30 0.001019 0.001196 0.001404 0.001667 0.001995 0.002395 0.002925
2025-04-06 0.000967 0.001149 0.001365 0.001644 0.001998 0.002438 0.003035
2025-04-13 0.000919 0.001104 0.001326 0.001617 0.001993 0.002470 0.003129
2025-04-20 0.000862 0.001045 0.001267 0.001562 0.001949 0.002445 0.003146
2025-04-27 0.000842 0.001031 0.001264 0.001577 0.001994 0.002539 0.003324
2025-05-04 0.000831 0.001028 0.001273 0.001608 0.002061 0.002665 0.003553
2025-05-11 0.000826 0.001031 0.001291 0.001650 0.002144 0.002815 0.003822
2025-05-18 0.000796 0.001004 0.001270 0.001643 0.002164 0.002886 0.003991
2025-05-25 0.000755 0.000960 0.001225 0.001602 0.002136 0.002887 0.004059
2025-06-01 0.000722 0.000925 0.001192 0.001575 0.002125 0.002911 0.004162
2025-06-08 0.000701 0.000905 0.001177 0.001572 0.002148 0.002985 0.004346
2025-06-15 0.000676 0.000880 0.001153 0.001555 0.002150 0.003028 0.004482
2025-06-22 0.000656 0.000861 0.001137 0.001549 0.002167 0.003092 0.004655
2025-06-29 0.000633 0.000835 0.001112 0.001528 0.002160 0.003119 0.004767
2025-07-06 0.000610 0.000810 0.001085 0.001504 0.002146 0.003135 0.004862
2025-07-13 0.000580 0.000774 0.001042 0.001454 0.002090 0.003081 0.004832
2025-07-20 0.000571 0.000767 0.001042 0.001467 0.002133 0.003187 0.005086
2025-07-27 0.000567 0.000768 0.001051 0.001495 0.002202 0.003337 0.005428